Ron Paul, does he stand a chance?

[GrobbeeTrull2.0]

Ron Paul Campaign to Louisiana GOP: Count All the Votes

Keeps getting snowed, it looks like.

Due to mistakes by the Louisiana GOP, hundreds of voters were forced to file provisional ballots, including nearly 500 that could change the outcome of the election. According to party officials, caucus locations relied on a voter list from November 1, 2007 despite the fact that under caucus rules, voters must have registered Republican by November 30, 2007. The Louisiana Secretary of State reports that 2,709 Louisiana residents registered as Republican between November 1, 2007 and November 30, 2007.

In multiple instances on caucus day, state-certified Ron Paul delegates that were on the ballot were forced to file a provisional ballot despite the fact they were pre-approved as delegates.

The Louisiana State GOP also changed the rules at the last minute to allow other candidates to file more delegates. At the time of the original January 10 deadline, Ron Paul had the largest number of delegates pledged to him. The party then changed the rules to give other candidates until January 12 to file more delegates

[Zhaun's_Shade]

Originally Posted by Kugbok_Fennin

Yes, now only if we could get the media to remind you how well he is doing.

The media doesn't need to tell me anything, I look up the numbers on my own. Lets see how well the number say he is doing...

This is the average Poll percantage for the GOP nomination across the country (01/14/08-01/22/08):

McCain - 26.2%
Romney - 20.2%
Huckabee - 18.5%
Giuliani - 13.5%
Paul - 5.3%

Here are the current number of delegates each has:

Romney - 67
McCain - 38
Huckabee - 26
Paul - 6
Giuliani - 1

And because Florida will soon cause a huge swing in those delegates (57, winner take all), we'll look at average of those polls too (updated today):

McCain - 29.9%
Romney - 29.1%
Giuliani - 15.4%
Huckabee - 12.8%
Paul - 3.9%

[Vatoreus]

we're still waiting to see what the hell is going on with Louisiana don't forget.

[Zhaun's_Shade]

Originally Posted by Vatoreus

we're still waiting to see what the hell is going on with Louisiana don't forget.

It doesn't look like Louisiana's delegates throw in until the Convention.

[Astrocreep]

how bad of a miscount can there be if the guy only had 5% to start with? i think some of you guys are way delusional about that outcome. i doubt he is going to win if he really had 6 or 7%

[GrobbeeTrull2.0]

in Louisiana, he apparently had more than 60% of the delegates, because no one else bothered to show up.

So, instead of settling with that, the LA GOP gave the other candidates 2 extra days to find some competition against Ron Paul.

[Zhaun's_Shade]

Originally Posted by GrobbeeTrull2.0

in Louisiana, he apparently had more than 60% of the delegates, because no one else bothered to show up.

So, instead of settling with that, the LA GOP gave the other candidates 2 extra days to find some competition against Ron Paul.

Except in Louisiana, they do things ass backwards (suprise!) and those votes don't seem to mean anything. The delegates do whatever they want when the Convention comes.

Though, there is another vote on Febuary 9th there I think, but it doesn't seem that does anything either. The system is even more convoluted than in other states.

But, even if Paul wins all 105 delegates from Louisiana in whatever bizzare way they do it down there, it still won't A) Give Paul momentum since the delegates throw in at the convention, B) Won't matter unless he starts placeing 1st and (a close) 2nd in other states.

[I'm Rich Bitch]

Not sure what to make of this for the Democrats since the votes don't count. I am sure that Billary will force the Democrats to use Michigan and Florida somehow however.

Looks like Billary and McCain are the front runners. Damn. Just damn. If that is the case, this will be the first election since I was eligible that I would not vote. I am sure McCain will lose and we have more years of the Clintons in that match up. Imagine that. It makes me want to cry like a little Bitch.

[FulorianC]

If I recall, Florida only has 57 delegates on the Republican side. Not 105. Their delegate count was slashed in half for moving up the primary.

[Hippos II]

ghoul to drop out, taking field down to 4, and realistically 3 since i think huckabee is running short on money as well. i guess this gives ron more face time, hopefully he takes advantage of it so he polls outside of single digits when its down to 3.

[FulorianC]

I guess we should be happy this stayed relatively on topic for 41 pages. R.I.P. thread.

[Tuco]

Originally Posted by FulorianC

I guess we should be happy this stayed relatively on topic for 41 pages. R.I.P. thread.

No.

http://www.fohguild.org/forums/gener...-internet.html

[Zhaun's_Shade]

Ron Paul is looking strong in this current debate I think. Being down to 4 candidates helps him to get his values across better.

[Hippos II]

caught the last 30 minutes the second time around, best part is when the moderator is like you'll all get your chance to speak on this, and paul and huckabee look at eachother and are like "yeah right, this is dumb, lets leave".

[FulorianC]

When Cooper only asked the 3 of the 4 (not Paul) about their conservative chops, Paul interjected later that he wanted to address that question that he has been overlooked for, Cooper said, "Just wait two minutes, you'll get to answer that question, I promise."

Never happened. Paul was never allowed to answer that question.

Also, on the Sandra Day O'Connor question - all the others were allowed to make commentary, Paul was only allowed a yes/no answer, and was distinctly cut off before he managed to finish his sentence.