| It's really a moot point since nuclear proliferation kind of erases the whole idea of a modern day WW2 that ends with anyone alive. However, if somehow technology reverted and a country decided they wanted to start expanding their nation by invading their neighbors without any reason, it would clearly be a threat to the stability of the world and thus us, and we would go to war through the legal means instead of these undeclared wars we never win.
Paul isn't completely anti-war, he supported going after Al-Qaeda and Osama bin Laden (who?! Oh yeah the guy that killed 3000 Americans on American soil that we decided to ignore in favor of one of the unconstitutional undeclared wars that inevitably go terribly for us) and didn't support abandoning that for Iraq (or anything else about Iraq).
As for whether he can do well, he's polling at 8% with likely primary voters in New Hampshire, which is the most important early state, and at no less than 5% in most others. He really has only barely started advertising at the time these latest polls were conducted, though. November 5th brought free publicity, but only with those that really keep up with the news, not the mainstream. The money is actually just starting to be spent, so his mainstream advertising is going to triple or quadruple in the next month and a half before the primary. Considering that he won a blind poll in terms of values that republicans agree with, once his message gets out there more his numbers should start to increase.
Furthermore, his grassroots support is so devoted and organized that his supporters should have a higher turnout % than the polls expect, and the low voting younger demographics should have a higher turnout than expected (not by an earthshattering margin or anything, but there are certainly more younger people involved in this that will be motivated to turn out than usual). More importantly, if he's expected to get 10% and ends up getting 15-20%, it will be seen as a HUGE win for him. It's better for momentum and having a shot to win to go from 10% to 15% in an early primary than going from 30% to 25%. I fully expect him to be able to win 20% in NH, which is a quite good number considering all the candidates out there. |