Really wonder about the specifics that you said you can't get into
For example, is that box sales, subscribers, or players? With every box having a buddy pass and CEs having 10, and considering everyone playing is in either a free month or free 10 days they could both be considered a subscriber/player.
Anecdotal, but most everyone I know has given out their buddy pass, and with the small number of servers and small load on each, I have a hard time seeing 100k box sales (that would be 200k+ players before fallout), unless churn is through the roof, which is a possibility with the state of the game at this point.
the NPD numbers for January come out later today, so we should have some general idea on pre-order/initial box sales soon enough.
