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Old 05-09-2008, 06:27 AM   #6949 (permalink)
Havelock
Lead Farmer
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: DC
Posts: 1,609
Quote:
Originally Posted by spronk View Post
The ANWAR thing is just political bullshit, at peak production it would produce 900k barrels a day. For just 10-15 years btw.

Oil consumption is currently 75 MILLION BARRELS A DAY worldwide. US consumption is over 20 million daily. So its 0.5% of daily US or 0.1% of worldwide - saudi arabia or russia alone can ramp up more than anwar if they wanted to, in a single week.

Its good that we have that extra oil, but its impact on long term oil futures contracts would be minimal - in some ways, you could even say futures already price in the eventual release of ANWAR into the worldwide oil supply.
Your numbers are way off. The USGS thinks ANWR could supply 5% (not .5%) of U.S. daily oil consumption for 12-32 years, not 10-15. And that ignores the inevitable technological advances that will make more oil in the field recoverable.

And a lot of the rise in oil prices is the result of rampant speculation. Opening ANWR could settle that down a bit.
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